Task 191: EP03 Counterfactual IF Analyses
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Task 191: EP03 Counterfactual IF Analyses
Status: DONE
Goal
Add counterfactual IF analyses to EP03 (Enceladus → Titania, 143h transit).
EP03 has 3 explorations but zero IF decision-fork analyses.
EP03 IF Scenarios
- What if the navigation error had not been caught (or caught later)?
- EP03's crisis: 99.8% accuracy navigation, 0.2% error = miss
- IF: What if the crew missed the error by 1 hour? 5 hours?
- How much ΔV would a late course correction cost?
- What if a different Uranus moon was targeted instead of Titania?
- Similar to EP02's IF analysis (different Saturn moon capture)
- Compare Titania vs Oberon vs Ariel vs Miranda capture ΔV